Hello Gentlemen, It occurred to me as I was writing Fridays Radio Show that this also needs to be submitted to the councils, and so as a result of that, I'm submitting a brand-new. . . . .
"OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR SAN FRANCISCO TO GET A 5.8 TO 8.0 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE ON JUNE 8, 2019"
~~~~~Of course I mean on or about that date, but in all events I mean such an earthquake is likely headed for our West Coast and the line does intersect San Francisco while passing offshore from Los Angeles, etc. Thinking about it that line also crosses near the rather shaky Northern California Region, although I did not notice exactly where. . . now basing all this on only one result of my checking the "Globe/Straight-Line Tool" as I like to use for such a task as this.
~~~~~All this today, I must say, is the result of landfall at India in the Bay of Bengals of Tropical Cyclone Foni, rhymes with Johnny on May 2, 2019 and consistent with the fact that Day 37 will be this coming Saturday, June 8, 2019. This will be the same number of days when a 5.8 struck Lincoln, Montana on July 6, 2017 after a quite similar landfall of Cyclone Mora at Bangladesh on May 30, 2017, there.
~~~~~When Cyclone Nargis also made landfall at Bangladesh on May 2, 2008, it was followed by a Major Earthquake of 8.0 at Sichuan, China although recent re-checking of the theoretical line does not seem to fully explain, at least not to myself, the exact movements that might have taken place between the top of the Indian Ocean Tectonic Plate and what would be the Asian Tectonic Plate. Probably in this situation as well as Cyclone Pam at Vanuatu preceding the 2014 Nepal-Kathmandu Earthquake that big windstorm led to movement of that tectonic plate and not "Seismic Energy" traveling in a straight-line thus moving the far northern tip of the Indian Plate in one direction or another in relationship to Sichuan, China and Nepal-Kathmandu in the case of Pam-Vanuatu. Although Nargis DID turn and that resultant seismic energy could be the ultimate cause and still be a straight-line THERE, too.
~~~~~Therefore you could then say at present I have only Mora-Montana and possible Cyclone Nargis-Sichuan to support the fact that the "Straight-Line" from landfall of Cyclone Foni at India does indeed seem to cross and touch San Francisco and will mean an earthquake, there.
~~~~~The estimate for the top range of magnitude being 8.0 is also based on the size of the Sichuan, China Earthquake although there had also been some controversy there with the "Three Gorges Dam" project having been completed and very recently filled and it is my opinion this probably represented a whole lot of stored energy, or potential seismic energy and thus the 8.0 was released only after the nominal moment of the tectonic plates as a result of the landfall of Cyclone Nargis.
~~~~~San Francisco just might have a lot of, or more, energy stored or "Potential Seismic Energy" and since a check did reveal the line of potential energy to cross San Francisco, I will now leave 8.0 at the top figure for about the maximum size this earthquake might be. However note that such amounts, if we are estimating stored energy, may have no limit and any big earthquake to strike San Francisco could reach 9.0 or sizes bigger, too. Speaking of potential earthquake energy Turkey is planning a huge new Dam-Reservoir project for the purposes of water there and over the years Turkey has had its share of Major Earthquakes and such a project CAN ONLY create more with a Massive Earthquake Event certain to be in their future. . .upon the completion of such a project of which it appears to be rather certain they will be constructing. And why do they not know it is more or less a guarantee, albeit a needed water project, and is there some other option to satisfy their water needs, there? Also just notice some shaking near a "Perris Lake" Reservoir only recently now filled in Southern California and isn't that also thusly due?
~~~~~The date of June 8, 2019 represents the exact same number of days between landfall of Cyclone Mora and the 5.8 Lincoln, Montana Earthquake on July 6, 2017 or Day 37 after that landfall and June 8, 2019 is that same number of days, however the actual alert for such an event will run through June of 2019 as well. And I'd be betting on that straight-line being fairly accurate such as one in 2004 that struck Oakland following landfall at South of Japan of Typhoon Man-Yi on July 20, 2007. In fact that typhoon was big enough to warrant an alert for up to 7 on Richters Scale. . . and probably much more famous for only coming in at a 4.2 there and one might hope this situation might be repeated because today we have another really big alert for San Francisco on our hands and we can only hope they do not get 100% of the "Earthquake Energy" that's headed for them nor that higher amount which could and is sometime released!!!
~~~~~There are a few other notable examples of my "Go Straight Theory" that while possibly not being applicable today in this region, might still be worthy of mention. After landfall of Hurricane Katrina at Louisiana, I followed a faithful line north and across the North Pole and found Islamabad where on Day 42 after landfall of Katrina a 7.6 Richters Earthquake struck near Islamabad and killed 87,000 people. Landfall of Hurricane Hugo at Charleston on September 22, 1989 with 160 miles per hour windspeeds, came to precede the World Series Earthquake on October 17, 1989. Several have crossed the Pacific and resulted in fairly accurate predictions including Goose Lake, 2 at Mt. Rainier, that 4.2 Oakland, my famous "Quake Chase 2011" 5.6 Coos Bay, Oregon, and one or two there with no known result. Landfall of Cyclone Winston at Fiji produced a very nice "Straight-Line" however in the direction opposite it's western heading, line that directly intersects Ecuador, and the Ecuador Trench, there, with a 7.8 on the Richters Scale following on April 16, 2016 at the exact point where that "Imaginary Line" intersected as a result of that big landfall at Fiji with 175 mph winds and lot of disastrous damage, too!!!
~~~~~A typhoon struck Oceania and you might recall I never alerted the councils due to THAT line intersecting Baja California, Mexico and not being either California or National. However it resulted in a 7.2 Easter Sunday Earthquake AT that very Mexican State (and out of CEPEC/NEPEC jurisdiction) and was unfortunately felt in much of Southern California although the present system I'm using.
~~~~~My straight-line theory all began one day when I stopped by to consult one of the professional seismologists in my Wisconsin Region and was encouraged not only to begin submitting to CEPEC, and NEPEC, but to apply my "Go Straight Theory" to all the other tectonic plates all around the world. This resulted in my very first straight-line prediction when Typhoon Heta made landfall at Niue and it resulted in a Mexico Earthquake and if this one does strike San Francisco. . . the rest will all be history, too!!!
Submitted this 3rd Day of June 2019 by Les Brown, The EQ Alert Guy
****************************************************
Sunday, June 2, 2019
Thursday, April 25, 2019
New E-Mail-Letter To CEPEC/NEPEC: Lots of Earthquakes!!! California? West Coast? (Thats California and National Earthquake Prediction Councils.
April 24, 2019
To: CEPEC/NEPEC
Fm: Les Brown, The EQ Guy
Hello!!!
~~~~~Today I'm writing to list all the 6 magnitude earthquakes from the past few days and suggest just a small chance California or West Coast could shake as the result. I'm thinking this sort of prediction or advance knowledge might be a type that could be of some use in the future. If nothing else just a statement saying all those earthquakes along with California and our West Coast are also the boundaries of tectonic plates.
~~~~~In this case you'll also want to know I routinely track "Potential Earthquake or Seismic Energy" from points where big windstorms make landfall and in this case I would be talking about the landfall of Tropical Cyclone Idai at Mozambique on March 14, 2019. Usually a given number of days thereafter and you can expect a Major Earthquake, now talking about Day 40 which was (yesterday) Tuesday, April 23, 2019 and Day 43 coming Friday, April 26, 2019.
~~~~~It is my opinion that with 6.1 Japan, 6.1 Taiwan, 6.1 and 6.4 Philippines along with a few others such as a 6.5 (Apparently upgraded to a 6.8, now) Sulawesi, Indonesia that some of this tectonic plate movement MIGHT come to affect our side of the Pacific Tectonic Plate making for a chance California, Alaska, and/or our West Coast to get an earthquake. I might guess without feeling need for much explanation that the magnitude could be 6.1, there.
~~~~~With regards to Mexico, and the Mexico City Region, there is already a mutually exclusive alert there for up to 7.5 through May and this and that is more like all one situation, anyways. That would also be a "Straight-Line" alert arriving near Caracas, Venezuela from Mozambique which headed west when it left that region and directly to Central and South America and much more direct than movement of the Pacific Plate such as we're seeing there.
~~~~~Watch for a 6.1 to now strike California, Alaska, or West Coast and possibly even Oklahoma or New Madrid Region/Southern Illinois before the end of May 2019.
~~~~~With regards to existing alerts for the "Triple Plate Junction" offshore from Sumatra as well as the nearby Jakarta Region, they will be watching for 7.5 also through the month of May 2019 and with all the shaking around that or those (Indian Ocean and Australian) Tectonic Plate (s) might even include Israel, and the Jordan Regions et, al.
~~~~~My notes say to also add that the 7.5 figure might also be about the highest expected magnitude for elsewhere regarding those tectonic plate movements, or the U.S., too.
~~~~~Thank-You Again, Guys!!!
Respectfully,
Les Brown,
Actor, Writer, Dee-Jay, EQ Guy
LB/lb
EXHIBIT A--My Updated 2019 Curriculum Vitae/Bio:
~~~I attended school in my hometown in Wisconsin, and went on to receive my General Education Diploma from Blackhawk Tech in October 1981, later attending TV Actors Studio in Chicago where I received a diploma from their Commercials One and Two course in early 1989.
~~~Throughout the 1990’s I worked as a Background Actor in Chicago Film Production working my way up to Feature Roles and Bit Parts and joining the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists or AFTRA, as well as going on to begin an Apprenticeship with the United Brotherhood of Carpenters in 1996 and heading to Los Angeles in 1999 when work ran out in Wisconsin. There I moved my AFTRA card and worked for Central Casting at the studios out there as well as moved my apprenticeship to work with the Southern California Millwrights local #1607 on a number of jobs out there having also worked on a lot of movies and television productions during this time as well. My California Apprenticeship was actually an Indenturement approved through Sacramento and affiliated with Santa Ana College in Santa Ana, California where I still have transcripts on file, there.
~~~In January of 2003 I moved my carpenters union card back to Milwaukee by taking and passing their Journeymans Test and thereby completing my apprenticeship, albeit without going the graduation route. Never married I currently reside at Moms house on Lake Koshkonong in Wisconsin where I watch Hurricanes, Typhoons, windstorms in general and earthquakes very closely on a daily basis and I write my EQ Blog, EQ Twitter, and EQ Guy Facebook among other earthquake writings and some Hollywood stuff, too!
There has also been a streak of Film Production in Chicago and so I have been doing a lot of acting in movies and TV Shows shooting in Chicago in recent years. “Chicago Fire” is one of my favorites where I worked right at the actual Chicago Fire Department station that is seen on TV and was also seen in a Close-Up with the 2 Paramedics at the Nursing Station at the end of Season One. Most recently “Chicago Med” where I was recently SEEN as a “Registered Nurse” in scenes totaling over a MINUTE in cafeteria elbow to elbow with Oliver Platt at next table and hoping for more Great Parts!!! In early April 2017 the Aliens invaded Chicago in a new movie with John Goodman and I worked two “Graveyard Shifts” at Soldiers Field there! Movie “Captive State” should be great Alien Movie when it’s released and we’ll find out how Chicago and John Goodman defeat the aliens!!!
~~~We are also presently shooting many other projects in Chicago and I recently received my Screen Actors Guild Card in the mail and now hope that will lead to me getting to do some real acting and parts that will lead to lots more work in TV and Motion Pictures! Then possibly out to Hollywood again in the future to do some more work in the Movie Business and more work with Earthquakes!!!
~~~Currently working at WORT-FM, Madison, where I write and record “Promos” for different things happening around the area including researching future shows and bands, and writing such promotions on a weekly basis for going on five years, now. Additionally as of October 31, 2014, I have gotten my very own what they call an Engineering Shift, where I work in the Studio/Control Room at the station covering a one-hour shift where I run all the controls there for the pre-recorded Democracy Now Show and also give the time and station identification throughout my one-hour shift every Friday from 4:30 to 5:30pm. I have also now done 2 "EQ Radio Shows" and as of January 2018 have been getting a more regular than just an occasional Edition of my now famous “Earthquake Minute” on Fridays for several years now and have also produced many more of them for the various stations of the Pacifica Radio Network in California, too!!!
~~~My current plans are to simply continue on with Community Radio and The Pacifica Radio Network along with writing my “EQ Blog” regularly, and with the hope of maybe publishing my most recent book “Bringing Earthquakes To Life” someday, too!!!
~~~Thank-You!!! LES
My E-Book, "Bringing Earthquakes To Life" is @ http://www.eqalert2.blogspot.com
My EQ Blog is @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/
To: CEPEC/NEPEC
Fm: Les Brown, The EQ Guy
Hello!!!
~~~~~Today I'm writing to list all the 6 magnitude earthquakes from the past few days and suggest just a small chance California or West Coast could shake as the result. I'm thinking this sort of prediction or advance knowledge might be a type that could be of some use in the future. If nothing else just a statement saying all those earthquakes along with California and our West Coast are also the boundaries of tectonic plates.
~~~~~In this case you'll also want to know I routinely track "Potential Earthquake or Seismic Energy" from points where big windstorms make landfall and in this case I would be talking about the landfall of Tropical Cyclone Idai at Mozambique on March 14, 2019. Usually a given number of days thereafter and you can expect a Major Earthquake, now talking about Day 40 which was (yesterday) Tuesday, April 23, 2019 and Day 43 coming Friday, April 26, 2019.
~~~~~It is my opinion that with 6.1 Japan, 6.1 Taiwan, 6.1 and 6.4 Philippines along with a few others such as a 6.5 (Apparently upgraded to a 6.8, now) Sulawesi, Indonesia that some of this tectonic plate movement MIGHT come to affect our side of the Pacific Tectonic Plate making for a chance California, Alaska, and/or our West Coast to get an earthquake. I might guess without feeling need for much explanation that the magnitude could be 6.1, there.
~~~~~With regards to Mexico, and the Mexico City Region, there is already a mutually exclusive alert there for up to 7.5 through May and this and that is more like all one situation, anyways. That would also be a "Straight-Line" alert arriving near Caracas, Venezuela from Mozambique which headed west when it left that region and directly to Central and South America and much more direct than movement of the Pacific Plate such as we're seeing there.
~~~~~Watch for a 6.1 to now strike California, Alaska, or West Coast and possibly even Oklahoma or New Madrid Region/Southern Illinois before the end of May 2019.
~~~~~With regards to existing alerts for the "Triple Plate Junction" offshore from Sumatra as well as the nearby Jakarta Region, they will be watching for 7.5 also through the month of May 2019 and with all the shaking around that or those (Indian Ocean and Australian) Tectonic Plate (s) might even include Israel, and the Jordan Regions et, al.
~~~~~My notes say to also add that the 7.5 figure might also be about the highest expected magnitude for elsewhere regarding those tectonic plate movements, or the U.S., too.
~~~~~Thank-You Again, Guys!!!
Respectfully,
Les Brown,
Actor, Writer, Dee-Jay, EQ Guy
LB/lb
EXHIBIT A--My Updated 2019 Curriculum Vitae/Bio:
~~~I attended school in my hometown in Wisconsin, and went on to receive my General Education Diploma from Blackhawk Tech in October 1981, later attending TV Actors Studio in Chicago where I received a diploma from their Commercials One and Two course in early 1989.
~~~Throughout the 1990’s I worked as a Background Actor in Chicago Film Production working my way up to Feature Roles and Bit Parts and joining the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists or AFTRA, as well as going on to begin an Apprenticeship with the United Brotherhood of Carpenters in 1996 and heading to Los Angeles in 1999 when work ran out in Wisconsin. There I moved my AFTRA card and worked for Central Casting at the studios out there as well as moved my apprenticeship to work with the Southern California Millwrights local #1607 on a number of jobs out there having also worked on a lot of movies and television productions during this time as well. My California Apprenticeship was actually an Indenturement approved through Sacramento and affiliated with Santa Ana College in Santa Ana, California where I still have transcripts on file, there.
~~~In January of 2003 I moved my carpenters union card back to Milwaukee by taking and passing their Journeymans Test and thereby completing my apprenticeship, albeit without going the graduation route. Never married I currently reside at Moms house on Lake Koshkonong in Wisconsin where I watch Hurricanes, Typhoons, windstorms in general and earthquakes very closely on a daily basis and I write my EQ Blog, EQ Twitter, and EQ Guy Facebook among other earthquake writings and some Hollywood stuff, too!
There has also been a streak of Film Production in Chicago and so I have been doing a lot of acting in movies and TV Shows shooting in Chicago in recent years. “Chicago Fire” is one of my favorites where I worked right at the actual Chicago Fire Department station that is seen on TV and was also seen in a Close-Up with the 2 Paramedics at the Nursing Station at the end of Season One. Most recently “Chicago Med” where I was recently SEEN as a “Registered Nurse” in scenes totaling over a MINUTE in cafeteria elbow to elbow with Oliver Platt at next table and hoping for more Great Parts!!! In early April 2017 the Aliens invaded Chicago in a new movie with John Goodman and I worked two “Graveyard Shifts” at Soldiers Field there! Movie “Captive State” should be great Alien Movie when it’s released and we’ll find out how Chicago and John Goodman defeat the aliens!!!
~~~We are also presently shooting many other projects in Chicago and I recently received my Screen Actors Guild Card in the mail and now hope that will lead to me getting to do some real acting and parts that will lead to lots more work in TV and Motion Pictures! Then possibly out to Hollywood again in the future to do some more work in the Movie Business and more work with Earthquakes!!!
~~~Currently working at WORT-FM, Madison, where I write and record “Promos” for different things happening around the area including researching future shows and bands, and writing such promotions on a weekly basis for going on five years, now. Additionally as of October 31, 2014, I have gotten my very own what they call an Engineering Shift, where I work in the Studio/Control Room at the station covering a one-hour shift where I run all the controls there for the pre-recorded Democracy Now Show and also give the time and station identification throughout my one-hour shift every Friday from 4:30 to 5:30pm. I have also now done 2 "EQ Radio Shows" and as of January 2018 have been getting a more regular than just an occasional Edition of my now famous “Earthquake Minute” on Fridays for several years now and have also produced many more of them for the various stations of the Pacifica Radio Network in California, too!!!
~~~My current plans are to simply continue on with Community Radio and The Pacifica Radio Network along with writing my “EQ Blog” regularly, and with the hope of maybe publishing my most recent book “Bringing Earthquakes To Life” someday, too!!!
~~~Thank-You!!! LES
My E-Book, "Bringing Earthquakes To Life" is @ http://www.eqalert2.blogspot.com
My EQ Blog is @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/
Thursday, September 20, 2018
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA-LOS ANGELES FOR A 5 OR 6 RICHTERS EARTHQUAKE BEFORE NOVEMBER 29, 2018
September 21, 2018
To: California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council
FM: The EQ Guy
Gentlemen,
~~~~~Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington, North Carolina on September 14, 2018 and I routinely track such big windstorms to where I hypothesize the epicenter of a Major Earthquake might strike. Since on this occasion it comes out to be California, I'm submitting an "Official Prediction" to the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council today to that effect.
~~~~~Thank-You, Again!!! Sincerely, EQ Guy
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO GET ONE OR MORE EARTHQUAKES OF 5 OR 6 ON THE RICHTER SCALE BEFORE NOVEMBER 29, 2018
The reason I'm predicting "One or More" today is due to the fact that when Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington, North Carolina, the speed at which it was moving was 3 miles per hour. As a result of such slow, slow walking speed movement it took days for Hurricane Florence to track all across the Carolina Region and today I'm writing to say I am expecting this same sort of long period of probably some rather big earthquakes to shake, and shake, and shake the opposite side of the North American Tectonic Plate or the Los Angeles and Southern California Region.
A special note regarding the segment of the San Andreas Fault, near San Bernardino, where a Major Earthquake has long been expected. This segment is today directly in line for this New Major Earthquake Energy to cross, however Hurricane Florence did turn just enough southerly in its course that the full brunt of this alert could strike anywhere between there and the Tijuana, and Northern Mexico Region. Also that mystery segment sort of faces a slightly different direction in such a way that this one WILL NOT exactly intersect with it like it would need to release all that energy they're waiting for. It actually looks more like Puente Hills, Whittier, maybe Hollywood for that region.
The region where Hurricane Florence made landfall at around North Carolina, and South Carolina itself is also a "Shaky Place" and might also expect earthquake activity, but probably not the menace we'll be awaiting for in California. Along with the Carolinas, Tennessee, and Southern Illinois/New Madrid Regions could shake, too, and the line will ultimately cross Texas, and Oklahoma where all of these should be far bigger than the mostly "Garden Variety" ones they can sometimes get, there.
The New Alerts for all of these regions will run beyond all the shaking they should be getting or fully until the last days of November 2018 and Day 76 after the date Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington.
It will now be 25 years I've been tracking such big windstorm/earthquake combinations which started on the day of the Northridge Earthquake in 1994 when while checking I discovered the Great World Series-Loma Prieta Earthquake of October 17, 1989 had been preceded by landfall of Hurricane Hugo at Charleston!!! After that I went on to write alerts to friends in Hollywood when other big windstorms would strike, saying an earthquake could follow and that started immediately that summer when Hurricane John made a near landfall at Johnston Atoll and was then followed by a Northern California Earthquake near Cape Mendocino at around a 7. While I was working in Los Angeles in 1999 was when Hurricane Bret made landfall at around Brownsville, Texas and after alerting my neighbors out there and everybody, the now great Hector Mines Earthquake struck there and I was shook up in my Hollywood Apartment there and aftershocks, too!!! Upon landfall last year of Hurricane Harvey at Texas, a huge swarm then struck Idaho and continued on a considerable amount of time, there, and after landfall of Hurricane Maria at Puerto Rico in spite of a major prediction for San Francisco no Major Earthquakes ever showed up along my "Straight-Line" although Hurricane Irma made landfall at Barbuda on September 6, and Oaxaca, Mexico got an 8.2 Magnitude on September 7, 2017
Also note Hurricane Olivia made landfall at Maui, Hawaii on September 12, 2018 and was immediately followed on September 15, 2018 at 5:55am Central Time by a 3.7 Richter Earthquake about 40 miles Southwest of that Island. Also Super Typhoon Mangkhut had 200 mph winds when it made landfall at the Philippines on September 14, 2018 and still big winds at landfall near Hong Kong on September 16 and the two combined will be producing some tremendously major earthquake energy that will be striking different places throughout the term of this O.P. but Antofagasta, and Tocopilla do not fall under the jurisdiction of the Councils, nor does Banda Aceh.
So, it looks like some big time shaking will be a relatively sure thing around those different parts of California and the rest of the Country and Thank-You, Again for accepting my earthquake related submissions, Sirs!!!
Respectfully Submitted this 20th day of September 2018, by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
To: California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council
FM: The EQ Guy
Gentlemen,
~~~~~Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington, North Carolina on September 14, 2018 and I routinely track such big windstorms to where I hypothesize the epicenter of a Major Earthquake might strike. Since on this occasion it comes out to be California, I'm submitting an "Official Prediction" to the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council today to that effect.
~~~~~Thank-You, Again!!! Sincerely, EQ Guy
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO GET ONE OR MORE EARTHQUAKES OF 5 OR 6 ON THE RICHTER SCALE BEFORE NOVEMBER 29, 2018
The reason I'm predicting "One or More" today is due to the fact that when Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington, North Carolina, the speed at which it was moving was 3 miles per hour. As a result of such slow, slow walking speed movement it took days for Hurricane Florence to track all across the Carolina Region and today I'm writing to say I am expecting this same sort of long period of probably some rather big earthquakes to shake, and shake, and shake the opposite side of the North American Tectonic Plate or the Los Angeles and Southern California Region.
A special note regarding the segment of the San Andreas Fault, near San Bernardino, where a Major Earthquake has long been expected. This segment is today directly in line for this New Major Earthquake Energy to cross, however Hurricane Florence did turn just enough southerly in its course that the full brunt of this alert could strike anywhere between there and the Tijuana, and Northern Mexico Region. Also that mystery segment sort of faces a slightly different direction in such a way that this one WILL NOT exactly intersect with it like it would need to release all that energy they're waiting for. It actually looks more like Puente Hills, Whittier, maybe Hollywood for that region.
The region where Hurricane Florence made landfall at around North Carolina, and South Carolina itself is also a "Shaky Place" and might also expect earthquake activity, but probably not the menace we'll be awaiting for in California. Along with the Carolinas, Tennessee, and Southern Illinois/New Madrid Regions could shake, too, and the line will ultimately cross Texas, and Oklahoma where all of these should be far bigger than the mostly "Garden Variety" ones they can sometimes get, there.
The New Alerts for all of these regions will run beyond all the shaking they should be getting or fully until the last days of November 2018 and Day 76 after the date Hurricane Florence made landfall at Wilmington.
It will now be 25 years I've been tracking such big windstorm/earthquake combinations which started on the day of the Northridge Earthquake in 1994 when while checking I discovered the Great World Series-Loma Prieta Earthquake of October 17, 1989 had been preceded by landfall of Hurricane Hugo at Charleston!!! After that I went on to write alerts to friends in Hollywood when other big windstorms would strike, saying an earthquake could follow and that started immediately that summer when Hurricane John made a near landfall at Johnston Atoll and was then followed by a Northern California Earthquake near Cape Mendocino at around a 7. While I was working in Los Angeles in 1999 was when Hurricane Bret made landfall at around Brownsville, Texas and after alerting my neighbors out there and everybody, the now great Hector Mines Earthquake struck there and I was shook up in my Hollywood Apartment there and aftershocks, too!!! Upon landfall last year of Hurricane Harvey at Texas, a huge swarm then struck Idaho and continued on a considerable amount of time, there, and after landfall of Hurricane Maria at Puerto Rico in spite of a major prediction for San Francisco no Major Earthquakes ever showed up along my "Straight-Line" although Hurricane Irma made landfall at Barbuda on September 6, and Oaxaca, Mexico got an 8.2 Magnitude on September 7, 2017
Also note Hurricane Olivia made landfall at Maui, Hawaii on September 12, 2018 and was immediately followed on September 15, 2018 at 5:55am Central Time by a 3.7 Richter Earthquake about 40 miles Southwest of that Island. Also Super Typhoon Mangkhut had 200 mph winds when it made landfall at the Philippines on September 14, 2018 and still big winds at landfall near Hong Kong on September 16 and the two combined will be producing some tremendously major earthquake energy that will be striking different places throughout the term of this O.P. but Antofagasta, and Tocopilla do not fall under the jurisdiction of the Councils, nor does Banda Aceh.
So, it looks like some big time shaking will be a relatively sure thing around those different parts of California and the rest of the Country and Thank-You, Again for accepting my earthquake related submissions, Sirs!!!
Respectfully Submitted this 20th day of September 2018, by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
Sunday, June 3, 2018
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR A 6.5 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE TO STRIKE NEAR CHICAGO, ST. LOUIS, INDIANA, OR NEW MADRID REGIONS ON OR ABOUT JUNE 24, 2018
At this point in time, as far as my own personal work at forecasting precision movement of tectonic plates is concerned, many is the time I’ve now accurately tracked potential earthquakes from the point they were generated, Point A, to where a Major Earthquake would then strike, or Point B.
One in particular that is worth mention today is when Hurricane Lili made landfall at a place called Intercoastal, Louisiana on October 3, 2002. I’m also using the basis of this event to accurately guestimate the amount of time and thus the date this one might strike. I say that because that landfall resulted in one of my early “EQ Alerts” for Italy, and Italy got a 5.9 on Day 28 or October 31, 2002, killing 26 school-children and one teacher when a school collapsed, there!
So the route across the North American Tectonic Plate, across the Atlantic, across Europe, and directly to Italy that event traveled is roughly parallel and very close to this imaginary line we’re watching and talking about today. It was even a great shock to me that day, knowing it could happen, and discovering that the potential earthquake energy not only faithfully followed across the Atlantic, but must have mysteriously crossed under the Atlantic Ocean and continued on to Italy, although today I track such events everywhere and Ocean Plates have not been a challenge since that event. Still, this event is today not only running a similar line to where I believe we are tracking today, but was also the first ever found to travel that route!
Today we are talking about the landfall of Severe Tropical Cyclone Mekunu at Yemen and Oman on May 25, 2018 and the fact that the first reading of where potential straight-line earthquake energy might be headed using a globe and straight-line tool came out at Chicago and continued on through St. Louis.
I always take several readings in a process similar to how we use precision tools to measure similar types of parts. My second reading came out as a line more near to New York and Washington DC, and third reading came out Chicago and more into Indiana. . . But Chicago again just the same along with one final reading just now calibrated with the clip showing that landfall and that reading. . . Chicago! Incidentally all those readings do also cross Canada, near Ottawa and Ontario, Mid-Atlantic Ridge where we should assume some shaking will occur, and the UK and any of those places could also get all of the 6.5 total we’re watching for today, now. . . And then some!
Then we have all areas between New York and Chicago along with areas around Charleston, and New Madrid and possibly as far west as Oklahoma, Yellowstone, or Montana again, too. The line inevitably continues to Guadalajara, Mexico where this will probably eventually all lead to a Major Earthquake of about 7.3, or 7.8 regardless of what extent all these other places shake! It’s also possible that the point where this “Potential Earthquake Energy” crosses Greece, Italy, Turkey, and other places in that region will get Major Earthquakes, and it will be possible ALL of the potential could be exhausted right there in one or a series of Great Earthquakes.
In the event of a Great Italy, Turkey, or Greece Earthquake in this window, we will pretty much need to keep watching all of the other places along this line as a precaution in case more could still happen. At this point in all my theories, there is not yet at this point a theory that says not to worry about an earthquake in this situation. Although that CAN happen in some parts of the world when all alerts have either run out or are only for more distant places. That won’t apply here and/or now or later with this alert, though.
Landfall of Severe Tropical Cyclone Mekunu had winds of 104 mph, with gusts up to 145 mph, made landfall at Yemen, and on May 25, 2018 our time. I’ll generally continue to track such an event with Day-30, Day-43, and Day-60 all being critical as far as a lot of them striking around Day 30, and Day 76 being what I consider about the final day when things have shook along a given line. Therefore Day 30, or June 24, 2018, is about the day! Then Day 43 will follow on July 7 and is also a big day, along with Day 60 on July 24, but in the near term Day 18, 20, or 23, or June 12, 14 and 17, for Turkey, Italy, and etc. might be when things will start to shake over in that region more near the point where Cyclone Mekunu originally made landfall.
This alert will as a result run until August 3, 2018, but any of these places could get earthquakes at any time before then and I had originally given 7.8 on the Richter Scale, a number I might use today as about the maximum I’d expect and hopefully for more than Chicago could ever get! Some regions are inclined towards smaller earthquakes even though the seismic energy might be the same and so the maximum for Ohio, New York, or Washington DC, might be only a 6, although it should be noted that earthquakes in that region, or all of todays regions for that matter, really have no limit and we are talking about places we may not think of as getting say a 7.3 Richters Earthquake. . . But the reality of it all is that they could!!! And todays alert is the result of what’s been called a “Rare Tropical Cyclone” and this could produce that “Rare Earthquake,” too!!!
So, right now any of these places could get about a 6.5, before August 3, 2018 although remember I’ve gone ahead and selected June 24 only as a guestimate on what the exact date of this upcoming potential Major Earthquake might be.
Thank-You Again!!!!! EQ Guy
One in particular that is worth mention today is when Hurricane Lili made landfall at a place called Intercoastal, Louisiana on October 3, 2002. I’m also using the basis of this event to accurately guestimate the amount of time and thus the date this one might strike. I say that because that landfall resulted in one of my early “EQ Alerts” for Italy, and Italy got a 5.9 on Day 28 or October 31, 2002, killing 26 school-children and one teacher when a school collapsed, there!
So the route across the North American Tectonic Plate, across the Atlantic, across Europe, and directly to Italy that event traveled is roughly parallel and very close to this imaginary line we’re watching and talking about today. It was even a great shock to me that day, knowing it could happen, and discovering that the potential earthquake energy not only faithfully followed across the Atlantic, but must have mysteriously crossed under the Atlantic Ocean and continued on to Italy, although today I track such events everywhere and Ocean Plates have not been a challenge since that event. Still, this event is today not only running a similar line to where I believe we are tracking today, but was also the first ever found to travel that route!
Today we are talking about the landfall of Severe Tropical Cyclone Mekunu at Yemen and Oman on May 25, 2018 and the fact that the first reading of where potential straight-line earthquake energy might be headed using a globe and straight-line tool came out at Chicago and continued on through St. Louis.
I always take several readings in a process similar to how we use precision tools to measure similar types of parts. My second reading came out as a line more near to New York and Washington DC, and third reading came out Chicago and more into Indiana. . . But Chicago again just the same along with one final reading just now calibrated with the clip showing that landfall and that reading. . . Chicago! Incidentally all those readings do also cross Canada, near Ottawa and Ontario, Mid-Atlantic Ridge where we should assume some shaking will occur, and the UK and any of those places could also get all of the 6.5 total we’re watching for today, now. . . And then some!
Then we have all areas between New York and Chicago along with areas around Charleston, and New Madrid and possibly as far west as Oklahoma, Yellowstone, or Montana again, too. The line inevitably continues to Guadalajara, Mexico where this will probably eventually all lead to a Major Earthquake of about 7.3, or 7.8 regardless of what extent all these other places shake! It’s also possible that the point where this “Potential Earthquake Energy” crosses Greece, Italy, Turkey, and other places in that region will get Major Earthquakes, and it will be possible ALL of the potential could be exhausted right there in one or a series of Great Earthquakes.
In the event of a Great Italy, Turkey, or Greece Earthquake in this window, we will pretty much need to keep watching all of the other places along this line as a precaution in case more could still happen. At this point in all my theories, there is not yet at this point a theory that says not to worry about an earthquake in this situation. Although that CAN happen in some parts of the world when all alerts have either run out or are only for more distant places. That won’t apply here and/or now or later with this alert, though.
Landfall of Severe Tropical Cyclone Mekunu had winds of 104 mph, with gusts up to 145 mph, made landfall at Yemen, and on May 25, 2018 our time. I’ll generally continue to track such an event with Day-30, Day-43, and Day-60 all being critical as far as a lot of them striking around Day 30, and Day 76 being what I consider about the final day when things have shook along a given line. Therefore Day 30, or June 24, 2018, is about the day! Then Day 43 will follow on July 7 and is also a big day, along with Day 60 on July 24, but in the near term Day 18, 20, or 23, or June 12, 14 and 17, for Turkey, Italy, and etc. might be when things will start to shake over in that region more near the point where Cyclone Mekunu originally made landfall.
This alert will as a result run until August 3, 2018, but any of these places could get earthquakes at any time before then and I had originally given 7.8 on the Richter Scale, a number I might use today as about the maximum I’d expect and hopefully for more than Chicago could ever get! Some regions are inclined towards smaller earthquakes even though the seismic energy might be the same and so the maximum for Ohio, New York, or Washington DC, might be only a 6, although it should be noted that earthquakes in that region, or all of todays regions for that matter, really have no limit and we are talking about places we may not think of as getting say a 7.3 Richters Earthquake. . . But the reality of it all is that they could!!! And todays alert is the result of what’s been called a “Rare Tropical Cyclone” and this could produce that “Rare Earthquake,” too!!!
So, right now any of these places could get about a 6.5, before August 3, 2018 although remember I’ve gone ahead and selected June 24 only as a guestimate on what the exact date of this upcoming potential Major Earthquake might be.
Thank-You Again!!!!! EQ Guy
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR A MAJOR EARTHQUAKE AS BIG AS 7.7 ON THE RICHTER SCALE TO STRIKE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, BOUNDARY PEAK, NEVADA REGION BEFORE OCTOBER 31, 2017
Landfall of Hurricane Maria at Puerto Rico with 175 Mile Per Hour Winds and heading in a North-Northwest direction on September 19, 2017, was quite similar to landfall of Hurricane Hugo at Charleston, South Carolina on September 21, 1989 with 140 Mile Per Hour Winds and Gusts of 160 which came to preceed the Great World Series Loma Prieta Earthquake at the San Francisco Region on October 17, 1989
Quite a similar line from Hurricane Hugo’s landfall at Charleston, then, and Hurricane Marias landfall at Puerto Rico, now. Tons of damage at Charleston, then. . . Tons of damage at Puerto Rico, now! Amounts of damage from big windstorms such as those are one method I use to figure out how big of a potential earthquake we are watching for and in this case damage from Hurricane Hugo at Charleston (Estimated at One Billion Dollars) theoretically led to the big 1989 San Francisco Earthquake and likewise a huge amount of damage at Puerto Rico could lead to the next big San Francisco Earthquake, too. I should report that it appears, although by no means settled science, that other landfalls at Caribbean seem to have preceded earthquakes at Mexico of 8.1 and 7.1 recently, too. Although in those cases a major North Korea Nuke Test with a 6.3 Earthquake there also preceded the Mexico Earthquakes and any siesmologist would agree could have been a factor there. Hopefully similar earthquake energies from that nuke test are NOT still shaking around the Pacific Tectonic Plate and will not be a factor in upcoming Frisco Earthquake or it could do untold damage there.
Number of days was 26 then, and therefore a Key Date in this alert will now be October 15, 2017 or Day 26 after Maria/Puerto Rico, although checking I noticed a “Friday The 13th” in October so that date, along with also October 17, 2017 which will be the anniversary of Loma Prieta, so that will be a Key Date, too. While I decided not to name one specific date since it amounts to wagering, I will set the end date or usual end date that I generally like to put on such alerts such as these at October 31, 2017 and note that I’ve had shaking all the way to Day 60 and Day 76 the latter will come on December 3, 2017 and on that date all the shaking associated with this matter should be completed there.
Gentlemen, much more can be said about what is about to happen in Northern California and the San Francisco Bay Region in the coming days but my most important message would probably be some major Earthquake Preperation there!!! The possibility exists here, as always in such shaky places, that the general public will need extra bottled water to go a day or several without, and tools to do some of the immediate work that help might not immediately come along and be able to do as fast as having your own tools nearby. Batteries in flashlights also important and in this case brand-new ones might be in order up there in Northern California and the Boundary Peak, Nevada Region.
Some of my most notable alerts for this region include “Quake Chase 2011” when after landfall of Hurricane Roke at Japan it appeared Northern California could get a Major Earthquake and as a result I was staying out there in Colma, California near Daly City on the night of the 5.8 downgraded to a 5.3 Coos Bay Earthquake of October 12, 2011 the night of a Full Moon there! Another was “Quake Chase 2014” when I was there for another night on the Full Moon prior to the Napa Earthquake which struck a week later the night of the New Moon and after I was home. There was also Typhoon Man-Yi that made landfall on July 13, 2007 wind speeds 155 mph with the potential earthquake energy heading for San Francisco when a 4.2 struck downtown Oakland and did a lot of damage there. Ironically I had already sent one of my old-fashioned paper copy predictions to the CEPEC office then on Clay Street in downtown Oakland a couple days earlier.
THIS is now a very serious alert and I know these do not always strike as stated in my writings, but as I’ve just demonstrated. . . Very often they DO!!! Never sure what I expect CEPEC and NEPEC to do about the big one coming, I mostly like to suggest the full tilt of earthquake preperations including logistics of heavy equipment in those areas, communications, contact lists updated, and whatever else Northern California can do. . . To be prepared!!! Big Earthquake Coming!!! Could be 7.7 on the Richter Scale!!! Thank-You For Reading!!!
Respectfully Submitted this 27th day of September 2017 by The EQ Guy, Les Brown.
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Quite a similar line from Hurricane Hugo’s landfall at Charleston, then, and Hurricane Marias landfall at Puerto Rico, now. Tons of damage at Charleston, then. . . Tons of damage at Puerto Rico, now! Amounts of damage from big windstorms such as those are one method I use to figure out how big of a potential earthquake we are watching for and in this case damage from Hurricane Hugo at Charleston (Estimated at One Billion Dollars) theoretically led to the big 1989 San Francisco Earthquake and likewise a huge amount of damage at Puerto Rico could lead to the next big San Francisco Earthquake, too. I should report that it appears, although by no means settled science, that other landfalls at Caribbean seem to have preceded earthquakes at Mexico of 8.1 and 7.1 recently, too. Although in those cases a major North Korea Nuke Test with a 6.3 Earthquake there also preceded the Mexico Earthquakes and any siesmologist would agree could have been a factor there. Hopefully similar earthquake energies from that nuke test are NOT still shaking around the Pacific Tectonic Plate and will not be a factor in upcoming Frisco Earthquake or it could do untold damage there.
Number of days was 26 then, and therefore a Key Date in this alert will now be October 15, 2017 or Day 26 after Maria/Puerto Rico, although checking I noticed a “Friday The 13th” in October so that date, along with also October 17, 2017 which will be the anniversary of Loma Prieta, so that will be a Key Date, too. While I decided not to name one specific date since it amounts to wagering, I will set the end date or usual end date that I generally like to put on such alerts such as these at October 31, 2017 and note that I’ve had shaking all the way to Day 60 and Day 76 the latter will come on December 3, 2017 and on that date all the shaking associated with this matter should be completed there.
Gentlemen, much more can be said about what is about to happen in Northern California and the San Francisco Bay Region in the coming days but my most important message would probably be some major Earthquake Preperation there!!! The possibility exists here, as always in such shaky places, that the general public will need extra bottled water to go a day or several without, and tools to do some of the immediate work that help might not immediately come along and be able to do as fast as having your own tools nearby. Batteries in flashlights also important and in this case brand-new ones might be in order up there in Northern California and the Boundary Peak, Nevada Region.
Some of my most notable alerts for this region include “Quake Chase 2011” when after landfall of Hurricane Roke at Japan it appeared Northern California could get a Major Earthquake and as a result I was staying out there in Colma, California near Daly City on the night of the 5.8 downgraded to a 5.3 Coos Bay Earthquake of October 12, 2011 the night of a Full Moon there! Another was “Quake Chase 2014” when I was there for another night on the Full Moon prior to the Napa Earthquake which struck a week later the night of the New Moon and after I was home. There was also Typhoon Man-Yi that made landfall on July 13, 2007 wind speeds 155 mph with the potential earthquake energy heading for San Francisco when a 4.2 struck downtown Oakland and did a lot of damage there. Ironically I had already sent one of my old-fashioned paper copy predictions to the CEPEC office then on Clay Street in downtown Oakland a couple days earlier.
THIS is now a very serious alert and I know these do not always strike as stated in my writings, but as I’ve just demonstrated. . . Very often they DO!!! Never sure what I expect CEPEC and NEPEC to do about the big one coming, I mostly like to suggest the full tilt of earthquake preperations including logistics of heavy equipment in those areas, communications, contact lists updated, and whatever else Northern California can do. . . To be prepared!!! Big Earthquake Coming!!! Could be 7.7 on the Richter Scale!!! Thank-You For Reading!!!
Respectfully Submitted this 27th day of September 2017 by The EQ Guy, Les Brown.
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Friday, July 21, 2017
UPDATE ON: OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR 5.5 RICHTER EARTHQUAKE AT SAN FRANCISCO AREA ON JULY 23, 2017
I abbreviated the title to shorten the formal name of the Official Prediction I'm discussing in todays paper. That can be viewed at http://earthquakealert2.blogspot.com/2017/07/official-prediction-for-about-55-on.html And that bears the entire Official Name there, too.
I must note that I'm entirely leaving out a lot of other good correlations with big windstorms and some other notable California Earthquakes along with just a general discussion of this correlation I've been using around the world for going on 25 years now. Here I am focusing on JUST the correlation with Typhoons that have traveled the East China Sea and made Major Landfalls at the South of Japan Region especially but not limited to striking Nagasaki because they also scrape the Eastern Coastal Regions more towards Tokyo there. It occurred to me in the course of preparing todays submission that THIS CORRELATION alone, especially if this one hits on time, might be of some value in and of itself towards ultimately warning people of California a Major Earthquake or earthquake in general is heading for them and might shake there.
First and possibly foremost of additions I wish to discuss today is the correlation between the Landfall of Typhoon Roke at South of Japan at or about 12:01am Central Time on September 21, 2011, and the "Offshore Oregon" Earthquake of 5.3 although it was originally a 5.8 Downgraded, shook on Oct. 12 at 10:13pm Central Time or 21 Days, 22 Hours, 12 Minutes after that landfall at Japan. Conversely the Landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol was at 23:30pm UTC on July 3, 2017 or 6:30pm Central Time at South of Japan. THEREFORE on this bit of new research I have now added 21 days, 22 hours, and 12 Minutes, and if I did all that math correctly it may equal or at best note the upcoming date of July 25th at 4:42pm Central Time, or 2:42pm Pacific Time would be the date the Offshore Coos Bay Earthquake struck overlaid with this present Official Prediction, and a wait and see if this new research item contributes substantially towards predicting California Earthquakes such as this one in the future.
Landfall of Typhoon Tokage with the highest windspeed reported at Nagasaki of 140 Miles Per Hour at around Noon Central Standard Time USA on October 19, 2004 preceded a 3.2 Mt. Rainier Earthquake of November 7, 2004 by 17 days, and 19 hours and again correlating that with my current prediction with landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol also at South of Japan would theoretically bring you out at 5:30pm Friday Afternoon, July 21, 2017 or later today as I'm writing this!!! Also another potentially useful calculation for California in the future. . . if and when this upcoming one strikes!!!
Finally, I believe I mentioned the 4.2 Oakland Earthquake that shook the USGS offices on Clay Street in Oakland and I located Typhoon Man-Yi landfall around July 13, 2007 and that earthquake on July 20, 2007, therefore this correlation comes in at just around 7 days and said date would have already passed for our present Official Prediction correlation back on July 10, 2017. I assert on this matter that it was however an identical correlation in every way and have been thanked by random people in the San Francisco area for letting them know ahead of time. . . that an earthquake was coming!!! Albeit at Day 7, still well within the words of Seismologist Richard Allen formerly Wisconsin, today UC Berkeley who once told me, "IF this earthquake energy DOES travel along the lines as you explain/say, then there WILL NOT ever be an exact number of days because the earthquake is ultimately due to movement of large masses of rock (Earth) and will not be moving on an exact schedule of days" or something to that effect. Suggesting that I've found a general number of days it takes the vast majority of these to shake. . . but in all likelihood will probably never be able to give an exact date for the resultant earthquake in the manner as I'm currently doing for the purpose of demonstrating how close this correlation has been working for me as I believe these examples show.
This alert in and of itself while covering all the above days and dates I have discussed in this paper, the alert still must be considered to be continuing until August 15, 2017 and the earthquakes which may be considered to be the result of that landfall of Tropical Storm/Typhoon Nanmadol could go on into Early to Mid-September 2017. However in general Japan to California Correlations normally run the number of days discussed herein today. Thank-You Again For Reading!!!
Original "Official Prediction" is at: http://earthquakealert2.blogspot.com/2017/07/official-prediction-for-about-55-on.html
***************************************
I must note that I'm entirely leaving out a lot of other good correlations with big windstorms and some other notable California Earthquakes along with just a general discussion of this correlation I've been using around the world for going on 25 years now. Here I am focusing on JUST the correlation with Typhoons that have traveled the East China Sea and made Major Landfalls at the South of Japan Region especially but not limited to striking Nagasaki because they also scrape the Eastern Coastal Regions more towards Tokyo there. It occurred to me in the course of preparing todays submission that THIS CORRELATION alone, especially if this one hits on time, might be of some value in and of itself towards ultimately warning people of California a Major Earthquake or earthquake in general is heading for them and might shake there.
First and possibly foremost of additions I wish to discuss today is the correlation between the Landfall of Typhoon Roke at South of Japan at or about 12:01am Central Time on September 21, 2011, and the "Offshore Oregon" Earthquake of 5.3 although it was originally a 5.8 Downgraded, shook on Oct. 12 at 10:13pm Central Time or 21 Days, 22 Hours, 12 Minutes after that landfall at Japan. Conversely the Landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol was at 23:30pm UTC on July 3, 2017 or 6:30pm Central Time at South of Japan. THEREFORE on this bit of new research I have now added 21 days, 22 hours, and 12 Minutes, and if I did all that math correctly it may equal or at best note the upcoming date of July 25th at 4:42pm Central Time, or 2:42pm Pacific Time would be the date the Offshore Coos Bay Earthquake struck overlaid with this present Official Prediction, and a wait and see if this new research item contributes substantially towards predicting California Earthquakes such as this one in the future.
Landfall of Typhoon Tokage with the highest windspeed reported at Nagasaki of 140 Miles Per Hour at around Noon Central Standard Time USA on October 19, 2004 preceded a 3.2 Mt. Rainier Earthquake of November 7, 2004 by 17 days, and 19 hours and again correlating that with my current prediction with landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol also at South of Japan would theoretically bring you out at 5:30pm Friday Afternoon, July 21, 2017 or later today as I'm writing this!!! Also another potentially useful calculation for California in the future. . . if and when this upcoming one strikes!!!
Finally, I believe I mentioned the 4.2 Oakland Earthquake that shook the USGS offices on Clay Street in Oakland and I located Typhoon Man-Yi landfall around July 13, 2007 and that earthquake on July 20, 2007, therefore this correlation comes in at just around 7 days and said date would have already passed for our present Official Prediction correlation back on July 10, 2017. I assert on this matter that it was however an identical correlation in every way and have been thanked by random people in the San Francisco area for letting them know ahead of time. . . that an earthquake was coming!!! Albeit at Day 7, still well within the words of Seismologist Richard Allen formerly Wisconsin, today UC Berkeley who once told me, "IF this earthquake energy DOES travel along the lines as you explain/say, then there WILL NOT ever be an exact number of days because the earthquake is ultimately due to movement of large masses of rock (Earth) and will not be moving on an exact schedule of days" or something to that effect. Suggesting that I've found a general number of days it takes the vast majority of these to shake. . . but in all likelihood will probably never be able to give an exact date for the resultant earthquake in the manner as I'm currently doing for the purpose of demonstrating how close this correlation has been working for me as I believe these examples show.
This alert in and of itself while covering all the above days and dates I have discussed in this paper, the alert still must be considered to be continuing until August 15, 2017 and the earthquakes which may be considered to be the result of that landfall of Tropical Storm/Typhoon Nanmadol could go on into Early to Mid-September 2017. However in general Japan to California Correlations normally run the number of days discussed herein today. Thank-You Again For Reading!!!
Original "Official Prediction" is at: http://earthquakealert2.blogspot.com/2017/07/official-prediction-for-about-55-on.html
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Wednesday, July 12, 2017
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR ABOUT A 5.5 ON RICHTER SCALE EARTHQUAKE TO STRIKE AT OR NEAR THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA ON JULY 23, 2017
Today I must submit a new “Official Prediction” due to the landfall on July 3, 2017 of Tropical Storm Nanmadol at the South of Japan near Nagasaki. This big windstorm has also been called a Typhoon in at least one writing although not sure which agency might have different numbers for a Tropical Storm or Typhoon. This particular windstorm had wind speeds recorded as high as 95 Miles Per Hour and it’s possible there might have been higher speed gusts since I never figured out if that highest speed was a gust or a basic recorded wind speed. In all events the biggest possible gust even with a 95 mph wind speed would be just over a hundred and we would still be looking at about the same effect on the Pacific Tectonic Plate such as we are now watching for as a result of this landfall.
Nominally I generally prefer to give a window of dates when it is the most likely an earthquake will follow such a big landfall and in that case this window would run fully out more towards the end of August and for example a popular day for such resultants to strike or Day 43 will not come until August 15, 2017. I’m saying July 23, 2017 due to the fact that I had what could be my most recent other similar event back in 2014 when I did an actual “Quake Chase” to Oakland/Frisco on Amtrak knowing there was a Major Earthquake heading for that city and possibly coinciding with a Supermoon of August 10, 2014 and this earthquake then struck instead at Napa, California after I had caught my train home it struck during the following NEW MOON on August 24, 2014. Therefore I’ll make use of that experience here and now by putting this newest prognostication down for July 23, 2017 knowing the July New Moon Exact Moment will be on July 23, 2017 at exactly 4:47am Central Time or 2:47am Pacific Time. Conversely I also have what I believe to be best times of day for shakers and might put exact time for this prediction at the usual early morning hours which I assert to be common for earthquakes or coldest time of day when the sun begins to affect the temperature or around 4:55am Pacific Time.
I’m well aware the Councils will also like some explanation for how I track such energy across the Pacific Tectonic Plate and today I might like to simply say that it is a theory today based on several of my very own experiences tracking identical paths all from the South of Japan to our West Coast. Probably the most notable “Quake Chase 2011” when another Supermoon occurred in the wake of another such landfall at South of Japan of Typhoon Roke on or about September 21, 2011. There was actually an Official Prediction on this event I just found at my EQ Blog and you may view it @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/2011/09/official-prediction-for-major.html The result of this landfall and my Quake Chase 2011 for the Supermoon was a 5.8 Richters Earthquake that struck just Offshore from Coos Bay, Oregon the very night I was there and was then downgraded, but stands today at a 5.3 there!!! And I just so happened to locate a news story on the subject that followed that very successful Quake Chase@
http://anzavalleyoutlook.com/local/eq-alert-guy-becomes-worlds-first-quake-chaser/ Note that the original magnitude was either a 5.8 or 5.9 if it really matters due to a discrepancy I just noticed between this story and the published one I just now posted there. Above Quake Chase story also states a copy of that above prediction was hand delivered to person at USGS Menlo Park Office where I Rollerbladed to from the nearby Cal-Train Station. Name edited but I can provide that, of course.
There have also been one or two additional Great Predictions, here’s one story from L.A. Times with a big 4.2 Oakland Earthquake the result@ http://articles.latimes.com/2007/jul/21/local/me-quake21 And a story relating the thousands of P.G. & E. customers out of power there when that 4.2 struck@ http://www.fogcityjournal.com/news_in_brief/bcn_oakland_earthquake_070720.shtml
Two other great ones that traveled this theoretical route shook Goose Lake in Northern California and Mr. Rainier.
As I usually do, I want to submit this paper to the California and National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Councils mostly for the purpose of letting the Councils know that there probably IS a small to medium sized earthquake heading DIRECTLY for the San Francisco Bay Area and I suppose just a little to the north around Napa, again, and thus to have this writing there on file for when this earthquake ultimately does happen like that above prediction which I seem to recall was sent by USPS Next Day Air to an office of Richard Eisner on Clay Street there. According to my calculations that office must have been right there in the middle of that town and probably not too far from that guys donut shop where his windows were broken there and mentioned in the L.A. Times story above. Similarly this earthquake probably WILL HAPPEN!!! Thank-You Again for Reading and accepting this Official Prediction.
Submitted this day July 12, 2017 by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
Nominally I generally prefer to give a window of dates when it is the most likely an earthquake will follow such a big landfall and in that case this window would run fully out more towards the end of August and for example a popular day for such resultants to strike or Day 43 will not come until August 15, 2017. I’m saying July 23, 2017 due to the fact that I had what could be my most recent other similar event back in 2014 when I did an actual “Quake Chase” to Oakland/Frisco on Amtrak knowing there was a Major Earthquake heading for that city and possibly coinciding with a Supermoon of August 10, 2014 and this earthquake then struck instead at Napa, California after I had caught my train home it struck during the following NEW MOON on August 24, 2014. Therefore I’ll make use of that experience here and now by putting this newest prognostication down for July 23, 2017 knowing the July New Moon Exact Moment will be on July 23, 2017 at exactly 4:47am Central Time or 2:47am Pacific Time. Conversely I also have what I believe to be best times of day for shakers and might put exact time for this prediction at the usual early morning hours which I assert to be common for earthquakes or coldest time of day when the sun begins to affect the temperature or around 4:55am Pacific Time.
I’m well aware the Councils will also like some explanation for how I track such energy across the Pacific Tectonic Plate and today I might like to simply say that it is a theory today based on several of my very own experiences tracking identical paths all from the South of Japan to our West Coast. Probably the most notable “Quake Chase 2011” when another Supermoon occurred in the wake of another such landfall at South of Japan of Typhoon Roke on or about September 21, 2011. There was actually an Official Prediction on this event I just found at my EQ Blog and you may view it @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/2011/09/official-prediction-for-major.html The result of this landfall and my Quake Chase 2011 for the Supermoon was a 5.8 Richters Earthquake that struck just Offshore from Coos Bay, Oregon the very night I was there and was then downgraded, but stands today at a 5.3 there!!! And I just so happened to locate a news story on the subject that followed that very successful Quake Chase@
http://anzavalleyoutlook.com/local/eq-alert-guy-becomes-worlds-first-quake-chaser/ Note that the original magnitude was either a 5.8 or 5.9 if it really matters due to a discrepancy I just noticed between this story and the published one I just now posted there. Above Quake Chase story also states a copy of that above prediction was hand delivered to person at USGS Menlo Park Office where I Rollerbladed to from the nearby Cal-Train Station. Name edited but I can provide that, of course.
There have also been one or two additional Great Predictions, here’s one story from L.A. Times with a big 4.2 Oakland Earthquake the result@ http://articles.latimes.com/2007/jul/21/local/me-quake21 And a story relating the thousands of P.G. & E. customers out of power there when that 4.2 struck@ http://www.fogcityjournal.com/news_in_brief/bcn_oakland_earthquake_070720.shtml
Two other great ones that traveled this theoretical route shook Goose Lake in Northern California and Mr. Rainier.
As I usually do, I want to submit this paper to the California and National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Councils mostly for the purpose of letting the Councils know that there probably IS a small to medium sized earthquake heading DIRECTLY for the San Francisco Bay Area and I suppose just a little to the north around Napa, again, and thus to have this writing there on file for when this earthquake ultimately does happen like that above prediction which I seem to recall was sent by USPS Next Day Air to an office of Richard Eisner on Clay Street there. According to my calculations that office must have been right there in the middle of that town and probably not too far from that guys donut shop where his windows were broken there and mentioned in the L.A. Times story above. Similarly this earthquake probably WILL HAPPEN!!! Thank-You Again for Reading and accepting this Official Prediction.
Submitted this day July 12, 2017 by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
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