I abbreviated the title to shorten the formal name of the Official Prediction I'm discussing in todays paper. That can be viewed at http://earthquakealert2.blogspot.com/2017/07/official-prediction-for-about-55-on.html And that bears the entire Official Name there, too.
I must note that I'm entirely leaving out a lot of other good correlations with big windstorms and some other notable California Earthquakes along with just a general discussion of this correlation I've been using around the world for going on 25 years now. Here I am focusing on JUST the correlation with Typhoons that have traveled the East China Sea and made Major Landfalls at the South of Japan Region especially but not limited to striking Nagasaki because they also scrape the Eastern Coastal Regions more towards Tokyo there. It occurred to me in the course of preparing todays submission that THIS CORRELATION alone, especially if this one hits on time, might be of some value in and of itself towards ultimately warning people of California a Major Earthquake or earthquake in general is heading for them and might shake there.
First and possibly foremost of additions I wish to discuss today is the correlation between the Landfall of Typhoon Roke at South of Japan at or about 12:01am Central Time on September 21, 2011, and the "Offshore Oregon" Earthquake of 5.3 although it was originally a 5.8 Downgraded, shook on Oct. 12 at 10:13pm Central Time or 21 Days, 22 Hours, 12 Minutes after that landfall at Japan. Conversely the Landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol was at 23:30pm UTC on July 3, 2017 or 6:30pm Central Time at South of Japan. THEREFORE on this bit of new research I have now added 21 days, 22 hours, and 12 Minutes, and if I did all that math correctly it may equal or at best note the upcoming date of July 25th at 4:42pm Central Time, or 2:42pm Pacific Time would be the date the Offshore Coos Bay Earthquake struck overlaid with this present Official Prediction, and a wait and see if this new research item contributes substantially towards predicting California Earthquakes such as this one in the future.
Landfall of Typhoon Tokage with the highest windspeed reported at Nagasaki of 140 Miles Per Hour at around Noon Central Standard Time USA on October 19, 2004 preceded a 3.2 Mt. Rainier Earthquake of November 7, 2004 by 17 days, and 19 hours and again correlating that with my current prediction with landfall of Typhoon Nanmadol also at South of Japan would theoretically bring you out at 5:30pm Friday Afternoon, July 21, 2017 or later today as I'm writing this!!! Also another potentially useful calculation for California in the future. . . if and when this upcoming one strikes!!!
Finally, I believe I mentioned the 4.2 Oakland Earthquake that shook the USGS offices on Clay Street in Oakland and I located Typhoon Man-Yi landfall around July 13, 2007 and that earthquake on July 20, 2007, therefore this correlation comes in at just around 7 days and said date would have already passed for our present Official Prediction correlation back on July 10, 2017. I assert on this matter that it was however an identical correlation in every way and have been thanked by random people in the San Francisco area for letting them know ahead of time. . . that an earthquake was coming!!! Albeit at Day 7, still well within the words of Seismologist Richard Allen formerly Wisconsin, today UC Berkeley who once told me, "IF this earthquake energy DOES travel along the lines as you explain/say, then there WILL NOT ever be an exact number of days because the earthquake is ultimately due to movement of large masses of rock (Earth) and will not be moving on an exact schedule of days" or something to that effect. Suggesting that I've found a general number of days it takes the vast majority of these to shake. . . but in all likelihood will probably never be able to give an exact date for the resultant earthquake in the manner as I'm currently doing for the purpose of demonstrating how close this correlation has been working for me as I believe these examples show.
This alert in and of itself while covering all the above days and dates I have discussed in this paper, the alert still must be considered to be continuing until August 15, 2017 and the earthquakes which may be considered to be the result of that landfall of Tropical Storm/Typhoon Nanmadol could go on into Early to Mid-September 2017. However in general Japan to California Correlations normally run the number of days discussed herein today. Thank-You Again For Reading!!!
Original "Official Prediction" is at: http://earthquakealert2.blogspot.com/2017/07/official-prediction-for-about-55-on.html
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Friday, July 21, 2017
Wednesday, July 12, 2017
OFFICIAL PREDICTION FOR ABOUT A 5.5 ON RICHTER SCALE EARTHQUAKE TO STRIKE AT OR NEAR THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA ON JULY 23, 2017
Today I must submit a new “Official Prediction” due to the landfall on July 3, 2017 of Tropical Storm Nanmadol at the South of Japan near Nagasaki. This big windstorm has also been called a Typhoon in at least one writing although not sure which agency might have different numbers for a Tropical Storm or Typhoon. This particular windstorm had wind speeds recorded as high as 95 Miles Per Hour and it’s possible there might have been higher speed gusts since I never figured out if that highest speed was a gust or a basic recorded wind speed. In all events the biggest possible gust even with a 95 mph wind speed would be just over a hundred and we would still be looking at about the same effect on the Pacific Tectonic Plate such as we are now watching for as a result of this landfall.
Nominally I generally prefer to give a window of dates when it is the most likely an earthquake will follow such a big landfall and in that case this window would run fully out more towards the end of August and for example a popular day for such resultants to strike or Day 43 will not come until August 15, 2017. I’m saying July 23, 2017 due to the fact that I had what could be my most recent other similar event back in 2014 when I did an actual “Quake Chase” to Oakland/Frisco on Amtrak knowing there was a Major Earthquake heading for that city and possibly coinciding with a Supermoon of August 10, 2014 and this earthquake then struck instead at Napa, California after I had caught my train home it struck during the following NEW MOON on August 24, 2014. Therefore I’ll make use of that experience here and now by putting this newest prognostication down for July 23, 2017 knowing the July New Moon Exact Moment will be on July 23, 2017 at exactly 4:47am Central Time or 2:47am Pacific Time. Conversely I also have what I believe to be best times of day for shakers and might put exact time for this prediction at the usual early morning hours which I assert to be common for earthquakes or coldest time of day when the sun begins to affect the temperature or around 4:55am Pacific Time.
I’m well aware the Councils will also like some explanation for how I track such energy across the Pacific Tectonic Plate and today I might like to simply say that it is a theory today based on several of my very own experiences tracking identical paths all from the South of Japan to our West Coast. Probably the most notable “Quake Chase 2011” when another Supermoon occurred in the wake of another such landfall at South of Japan of Typhoon Roke on or about September 21, 2011. There was actually an Official Prediction on this event I just found at my EQ Blog and you may view it @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/2011/09/official-prediction-for-major.html The result of this landfall and my Quake Chase 2011 for the Supermoon was a 5.8 Richters Earthquake that struck just Offshore from Coos Bay, Oregon the very night I was there and was then downgraded, but stands today at a 5.3 there!!! And I just so happened to locate a news story on the subject that followed that very successful Quake Chase@
http://anzavalleyoutlook.com/local/eq-alert-guy-becomes-worlds-first-quake-chaser/ Note that the original magnitude was either a 5.8 or 5.9 if it really matters due to a discrepancy I just noticed between this story and the published one I just now posted there. Above Quake Chase story also states a copy of that above prediction was hand delivered to person at USGS Menlo Park Office where I Rollerbladed to from the nearby Cal-Train Station. Name edited but I can provide that, of course.
There have also been one or two additional Great Predictions, here’s one story from L.A. Times with a big 4.2 Oakland Earthquake the result@ http://articles.latimes.com/2007/jul/21/local/me-quake21 And a story relating the thousands of P.G. & E. customers out of power there when that 4.2 struck@ http://www.fogcityjournal.com/news_in_brief/bcn_oakland_earthquake_070720.shtml
Two other great ones that traveled this theoretical route shook Goose Lake in Northern California and Mr. Rainier.
As I usually do, I want to submit this paper to the California and National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Councils mostly for the purpose of letting the Councils know that there probably IS a small to medium sized earthquake heading DIRECTLY for the San Francisco Bay Area and I suppose just a little to the north around Napa, again, and thus to have this writing there on file for when this earthquake ultimately does happen like that above prediction which I seem to recall was sent by USPS Next Day Air to an office of Richard Eisner on Clay Street there. According to my calculations that office must have been right there in the middle of that town and probably not too far from that guys donut shop where his windows were broken there and mentioned in the L.A. Times story above. Similarly this earthquake probably WILL HAPPEN!!! Thank-You Again for Reading and accepting this Official Prediction.
Submitted this day July 12, 2017 by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
Nominally I generally prefer to give a window of dates when it is the most likely an earthquake will follow such a big landfall and in that case this window would run fully out more towards the end of August and for example a popular day for such resultants to strike or Day 43 will not come until August 15, 2017. I’m saying July 23, 2017 due to the fact that I had what could be my most recent other similar event back in 2014 when I did an actual “Quake Chase” to Oakland/Frisco on Amtrak knowing there was a Major Earthquake heading for that city and possibly coinciding with a Supermoon of August 10, 2014 and this earthquake then struck instead at Napa, California after I had caught my train home it struck during the following NEW MOON on August 24, 2014. Therefore I’ll make use of that experience here and now by putting this newest prognostication down for July 23, 2017 knowing the July New Moon Exact Moment will be on July 23, 2017 at exactly 4:47am Central Time or 2:47am Pacific Time. Conversely I also have what I believe to be best times of day for shakers and might put exact time for this prediction at the usual early morning hours which I assert to be common for earthquakes or coldest time of day when the sun begins to affect the temperature or around 4:55am Pacific Time.
I’m well aware the Councils will also like some explanation for how I track such energy across the Pacific Tectonic Plate and today I might like to simply say that it is a theory today based on several of my very own experiences tracking identical paths all from the South of Japan to our West Coast. Probably the most notable “Quake Chase 2011” when another Supermoon occurred in the wake of another such landfall at South of Japan of Typhoon Roke on or about September 21, 2011. There was actually an Official Prediction on this event I just found at my EQ Blog and you may view it @ http://earthquakealert.blogspot.com/2011/09/official-prediction-for-major.html The result of this landfall and my Quake Chase 2011 for the Supermoon was a 5.8 Richters Earthquake that struck just Offshore from Coos Bay, Oregon the very night I was there and was then downgraded, but stands today at a 5.3 there!!! And I just so happened to locate a news story on the subject that followed that very successful Quake Chase@
http://anzavalleyoutlook.com/local/eq-alert-guy-becomes-worlds-first-quake-chaser/ Note that the original magnitude was either a 5.8 or 5.9 if it really matters due to a discrepancy I just noticed between this story and the published one I just now posted there. Above Quake Chase story also states a copy of that above prediction was hand delivered to person at USGS Menlo Park Office where I Rollerbladed to from the nearby Cal-Train Station. Name edited but I can provide that, of course.
There have also been one or two additional Great Predictions, here’s one story from L.A. Times with a big 4.2 Oakland Earthquake the result@ http://articles.latimes.com/2007/jul/21/local/me-quake21 And a story relating the thousands of P.G. & E. customers out of power there when that 4.2 struck@ http://www.fogcityjournal.com/news_in_brief/bcn_oakland_earthquake_070720.shtml
Two other great ones that traveled this theoretical route shook Goose Lake in Northern California and Mr. Rainier.
As I usually do, I want to submit this paper to the California and National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Councils mostly for the purpose of letting the Councils know that there probably IS a small to medium sized earthquake heading DIRECTLY for the San Francisco Bay Area and I suppose just a little to the north around Napa, again, and thus to have this writing there on file for when this earthquake ultimately does happen like that above prediction which I seem to recall was sent by USPS Next Day Air to an office of Richard Eisner on Clay Street there. According to my calculations that office must have been right there in the middle of that town and probably not too far from that guys donut shop where his windows were broken there and mentioned in the L.A. Times story above. Similarly this earthquake probably WILL HAPPEN!!! Thank-You Again for Reading and accepting this Official Prediction.
Submitted this day July 12, 2017 by Les Brown, The EQ Guy
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